Human Intuitive Perspective of Technological Advancement in Five Years
Estimating the Speed of Exponential Technological Advancement

Notice how the previous chart clearly showed a marked difference each year. Yet, when compared to the ten year span of exponential growth, that "great thirty-two times advancement in technology" is just a measly three percent gain.

So just how good is your ability to predict the changes that will occur when our capabilities become increased hundreds of times more each year? Currently, our computing power and sensor capabilities are starting to quantify cellular and molecular structures easily and cheaply, and our tools are able to manipulate molecules. Today small companies are creating the paradigm changes that were the domain of large corporations, universities, and government agencies. Now boost it 1,000 times. The current eleven months doubling rate of technology known as "The Law of Accelerating Returns" is getting faster.

Technological Advancement in Twenty Years >>

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